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Bozkurt E, Kandil A E. Ecological niche modeling of Montivipera xanthina (Gray, 1849) (Reptilia: Viperidae) under current and future scenarios in Anatolia and Southeastern Europe with additional new records from Türkiye. JAD 2025; 7 (1) :1-13
URL: http://jad.lu.ac.ir/article-1-458-en.html
URL: http://jad.lu.ac.ir/article-1-458-en.html
1- Veterinary Department, Şabanözü Vocational School, Çankırı Karatekin University, 18100, Çankırı/Türkiye , ebozkurt@karatekin.edu.tr
2- Ergotherapy Department, Faculty of Health Science, Çankırı Karatekin University, 18000, Çankırı/Türkiye
2- Ergotherapy Department, Faculty of Health Science, Çankırı Karatekin University, 18000, Çankırı/Türkiye
Abstract: (89 Views)
Global climate change affects the physical, morphological, and behavioral characteristics of reptiles. Sometimes reptiles may undergo spatial changes to cope with global climate change. Under the influence of global climate change, reptiles show many different responses, including habitat shifting, range expansion, habitat loss, or extinction. In this study, 117 locality records of Montivipera xanthina were used in conjunction with the program MaxEnt within the context of current (1981–2010) and five different future (2071–2100) climate change predictions (GFDL-ESM4, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0, and UKESM1-0-LL) in two shared socioeconomic pathways (ssp126 and ssp585). Further, habitat probability analysis was conducted for all predictions. The gain-loss analysis suggests that M. xanthina will lose 28.90% and 59.89% of the current distribution range under ssp126 and ssp 585 scenarios, respectively. The Bosphorus, Taurus Mountains in the Mediterranean region, Marmara region, and the Peloponnese were recovered as suitable areas of occupation in all future scenarios.
Type of Study: Original Research Article |
Subject:
Ecological Diversity
Received: 2025/01/9 | Accepted: 2025/03/19 | Published: 2025/03/31
Received: 2025/01/9 | Accepted: 2025/03/19 | Published: 2025/03/31
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